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Posts Tagged ‘Stock’

weekend report summary, Oct 02, 2011

October 2, 2011 1 comment

Stock market of Brussels

Image via Wikipedia

  • Market in Bear Normal;  Market is Neutral on a short term basis
  • Equities returned to last week’s  lows, with volatility remaining in the high end of normal. ;
  • Blended monthly rebalancing, current holdings:
    • 26 ETF portfolio:  TLT, TLT, SHY (double scoop of TLT)
    • 13 ETF portfolio:  TLT x3 (Triple scoop of TLT) (could also use TLT and 2x SHY if you don’t want the volatility of TLT)
    • next re-evaluation  on/about  1 Nov
  • ETF2 notes:  the system does what it does.   all cash
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 0%;  Model portfolio will be at 0% exposed
  • Bundle 2 of the Tradestation project  has been completed, with favorable reports from initial users;  contains 6  unique Tortoise market condition indicators combined with the power of Tradestation. Am preparing an overview and demo for the October IITM seminars. Am trying convince Mark Mcdowell to do a webinar demo that we can record J  we’ll see

weekend strategy report for July 16, 200

July 16, 2011 Leave a comment

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is Oversold on a short term basis
  • Equities sold off this week, with volatility increasing slightly
  • Blended monthly rebalancing, current holdings:
    • 26 ETF portfolio:  FXF, IYR, IEV
    • 13 ETF portfolio:  IYR, DIA, EFA
    • next re-evaluation  on/about  1 Aug
  • ETF2 notes: no change, adjust stops
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 50%;
    • model portfolio is at 100%
  • You can use this link for adding questions  and/or comments to be addressed in the weekly webinar

http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/WeeklyWebinar

Weekend report review, exec summary for Jul 09, 2011

July 10, 2011 Leave a comment

Stock market of Brussels

Image via Wikipedia

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is Overbought on a short term basis
  • Equities maintained the gains this week, with volatility declining slightly inspite of weak employment numbers
  • Blended monthly rebalancing, current holdings:
    • 26 ETF portfolio:  FXF, IYR, IEV
    • 13 ETF portfolio:  IYR, DIA, EFA
    • next re-evaluation  on/about  1 Aug
  • ETF2 notes: no change, adjust stops
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 90%;
    • model portfolio will be at 100%

Blended monthly rebalancing strategy

June 25, 2011 Leave a comment

Image extracted from Systems Engineering Funda...

Image via Wikipedia

Beginning July 1st I will be shifting the 331, 631 and 333 strategies to a “Blended Monthly Rebalancing” strategy in this space.

As a result of the hard work and backtesting of many mastermind members I am satisfied that we have found a ruleset that offers improved reward:risk, and risk management.

The 3 systems we have been following here have done their job just fine, but by refining the list of ETFs to choose from,  incorporating a blend of the 3 and 6 month lookback period, and adding a  monthly moving average filter to the system I believe we have a significantly improved strategy.

I am writing up the rule set for distribution this weekend and will distribute it and a spreadsheet for implementing it to Gold and Silver members. I will continue to publish the current list of holdings in this space for the variation of the ruleset I will follow

weekend report review June 18, 2011

June 19, 2011 Leave a comment

“]Cover of "Sideways [Blu-ray]"

Cover of Sideways [Blu-ray

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxKBpxlGtnE

main themes: playing defense as the bearish trend is now officially strong sdn we are on the boundary of a Volatile Sideways market

weekend strategy report, June 04, n2011

June 3, 2011 Leave a comment

Participants in The Economic Redesign and Reba...

Image by World Economic Forum via Flickr

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is neutral on a short term basis
  • Equities remained sideways all week, with volatility increasingly slightly
  • Rebalancingproject:
    • Monthly rebalancing : next re-evaluation  on/about  1 June
      • 331 is holding  IYR, EEM, TLT
      • 631 is holding IYR, MDY, IWM
      • Quarterly rebalancing: next re-evaluation on/about 1 July. 333 is holding DIA, MDY, IWM;
  • ETF2 notes:   selling IJK, XRT
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 0%;
    • model portfolio is at 20% after the sells

weekend review May 15, 2011

May 15, 2011 1 comment

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is neutral on a short term basis
  • Equities were sideways all week, digesting last week’s gains, with a slight advantage to the US and its defensive sectors
  • Commodities experienced more weakness this week, with silver remaining highly volatile
  • Rebalancingproject:
    • Monthly rebalancing : next re-evaluation  on/about  1 June
      • 331 is holding  EWA, MDY, IWM;
      • 631 is holding EWA, MDY, IWM
      • Quarterly rebalancing: next re-evaluation on/about 1 July. 333 is holding DIA, MDY, IWM;
  • ETF2 notes:   selling EWG, EWY by rule (below average scores on AVG and STR, and negative on 5 week %)
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 40%;  therefore no new buys
    • model portfolio is at 40% after the sells
  • Making preparations this week for the research weekend and live trading week on KC. Time flies!
  • You can use this link for adding questions  and/or comments to be addressed in the weekly webinar

http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/WeeklyWebinar

weekend market review, May 07, 2011

May 7, 2011 2 comments

Stock market of Brussels

Image via Wikipedia

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is neutral on a short term basis
  • Equities sold off this week, but found support near the end of the week
  • Commodities cracked this week with silver experiencing a 5 sigma selloff (2d largest 5 day loss in the last 5 years)
  • Rebalancing project:
    • Monthly rebalancing : next re-evaluation  on/about  1 June
      • 331 is holding  EWA, MDY, IWM;
      • 631 is holding EWA, MDY, IWM
      • Quarterly rebalancing: next re-evaluation  on/about  1 July. 333 is holding DIA, MDY, IWM;
  • ETF2 notes:   adding positions in IHF (healthcare), XBI (biotech), XRT (retail). adjust stops
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 60%;
    • model portfolio is at 60%
  • You can use this link for adding questions  and/or comments to be addraqessed in the weekly webinar

http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/WeeklyWebinar

 

Weekend review, Apr 30, 2011

April 30, 2011 2 comments

  • Market in Bull Normal;  Market is Overbought on a short term basis
  • Equities have broken through the previous swing high, with signs of confidence in Asia less Japan and Europe emerging
  • US Dollar plummets to its lowest point in years.
  • Precious metals, commodities, energy  of any type are dominating, especially silver  (which is beginning to look toppy)
  • Rebalancingproject:
    • Monthly rebalancing : next re-evaluation  on/about  1 June
      • 331 is holding  EWA, MDY, IWM;
      • 631 is holding EWA, MDY, IWM
      • Quarterly rebalancing: next re-evaluation  on/about  1 July. 333 is holding DIA, MDY, IWM;
  • ETF2 notes:   add a position in EWG (Germany) adjust stops
    • Theoretical exposure is recommended at 100%;
    • model portfolio remains at 100%
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